Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.314834 2.418704 2.526499 2.647065 2.778575 2.918151 3.078123
2025-11-16 2.101998 2.242725 2.394596 2.571870 2.774684 3.001437 3.276976
2025-11-23 1.965733 2.132323 2.317855 2.542256 2.809802 3.123306 3.525979
2025-11-30 1.869479 2.056224 2.269840 2.536370 2.866222 3.270165 3.818115
2025-12-07 1.775749 1.974474 2.206670 2.503793 2.883154 3.365800 4.053635
2025-12-14 1.679783 1.882970 2.124198 2.438920 2.850708 3.391007 4.193552
2025-12-21 1.630236 1.843680 2.101580 2.445442 2.908144 3.537678 4.521316
2025-12-28 1.599744 1.825194 2.102447 2.480409 3.004129 3.745118 4.970897
2026-01-04 1.541876 1.769147 2.051846 2.442894 2.995501 3.798712 5.182880
2026-01-11 1.509087 1.742919 2.037677 2.452501 3.052738 3.954651 5.592468
2026-01-18 1.486219 1.727949 2.036829 2.479358 3.135870 4.158553 6.129419
2026-01-25 1.442978 1.684571 1.995888 2.446942 3.126858 4.211275 6.387456
2026-02-01 1.386889 1.624974 1.934078 2.386447 3.078279 4.205995 6.558095
2026-02-08 1.340956 1.577456 1.887057 2.345272 3.057602 4.248244 6.848496
2026-02-15 1.307786 1.545728 1.860299 2.332183 3.080516 4.371020 7.362795
2026-02-22 1.281872 1.522676 1.844371 2.333967 3.127430 4.544457 8.069220
2026-03-01 1.249316 1.489404 1.812600 2.309761 3.128719 4.631130 8.587349
2026-03-08 1.209390 1.444805 1.763103 2.255761 3.075062 4.602298 8.767591
2026-03-15 1.190730 1.428697 1.753412 2.262597 3.126770 4.794703 9.723081
2026-03-22 1.180428 1.423635 1.759150 2.293599 3.223558 5.099293 11.282066
2026-03-29 1.152422 1.392999 1.726489 2.261438 3.202806 5.140666 11.883012
2026-04-05 1.137484 1.380186 1.719378 2.269998 3.257958 5.366261 13.485655
2026-04-12 1.127419 1.373846 1.721436 2.293428 3.343169 5.682034 15.978595